Find the edge.
Place the trade.

Every pick. On the record.

Independent market intelligence for prediction markets. Our models price the market, an analyst writes the case, and every pick is paper-traded at the public price and graded when it settles — losses included.

PERFORMANCE

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COVERING Kalshi Polymarket

HIGH CONVICTION

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RECENT PICKS

Losses stay on the board.
MarketPlatformPositionEdgeConvictionClosesResultPublished
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HOW IT WORKS

01

We scan the markets

Hundreds of prediction markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, every day.

02

We price them

Models compute a probability and compare it to the market's price — the gap is the edge.

03

We publish the thesis

An analyst writes the case: position, probability, and what would prove it wrong.

04

We grade the record

Every pick is paper-traded at the public price and graded when it settles — with a post-mortem.